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Sunday, May 10, 2026
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Seven in Ten Voters Say Keep Biological Males Out of the WNBA — Including a Majority of Democrats

A new Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 registered voters, conducted on August 17 by Scott Rasmussen's RMG Research, Inc., found that 70% of American voters say biological males should not be allowed to compete in women's professional basketball. The margin of error was ±3.1%.

Fifty-three percent of Democrats agreed.

That number deserves its own paragraph because it demolishes the single most important talking point in the trans-sports debate — that opposition is just a right-wing culture war obsession. It isn't. When a majority of your own party's voters reject the position, you don't have a "messaging problem." You have a wrong-answer problem.

The survey didn't stop at the general question. It drilled into specifics. Only 20% of voters said biological males should be allowed to play in the WNBA at all. When respondents were asked specifically about former NBA players — men like Enes Kanter Freedom and Royce White, whose names have surfaced in the broader debate — just 14% said they should be permitted to compete. Fifty-seven percent said former NBA players should be banned outright, with another 10% drawing a distinction: ban former NBA players, but not necessarily other biological males.

The numbers on downstream consequences were even more lopsided. Sixty-two percent of voters said allowing biological males into the WNBA would deny biological women competitive opportunities. Sixty-six percent said it would increase injury risk to biological female players. These aren't hypotheticals plucked from a Heritage Foundation white paper. These are practical observations from people who watch sports and understand what happens when a 6'4" frame built on male puberty collides with a 5'9" guard fighting for a roster spot.

Some will argue the WNBA should be free to set its own eligibility rules as a private league. Which sounds reasonable right up until you remember the NBA subsidizes the WNBA's operations. Forty-four percent of voters said the NBA should stop subsidizing the WNBA entirely if biological males are allowed to compete — meaning the "private business" argument comes with a price tag that even the league's own financial backers might not want to pay.

The 72% opposition among Republicans was expected. But the Democratic number — 53% — is the one that matters strategically. This is a issue where elected Democrats are functionally to the left of their own voters. Every candidate who dodges the question with rehearsed language about "inclusion" and "evolving standards" is betting that voters aren't paying attention. This poll says they are.

What makes these results durable is that the question isn't abstract anymore. We aren't debating a philosophy seminar hypothetical about gender identity in competitive athletics. We're talking about a real professional league, real roster spots, real scholarship pipelines, and real women who spent their lives training for a shot at playing professionally.

The 70% figure crosses every demographic fault line the political class uses to divide us. When seven in ten voters land on the same side of anything in 2026, that's not a culture war. That's a consensus the political class hasn't caught up to yet.

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